Evidence-based investing

Buy quality stocks near support

Weekly signals when high-quality S&P 500 stocks touch their 200-week moving average. Transparent methodology, no black boxes.

AAPL
Near SMA

Apple Inc.

87

Quality Score

$178.52
Weekly Close
$172.34
SMA-200W
+3.6%
Distance

Example signal card. Every number is clickable to see how it was computed.

Clear Definitions, No Black Boxes

Weekly Close

The adjusted closing price on the last trading session of the week (typically Friday).

Holiday-adjusted. Uses split and dividend-adjusted prices for accuracy.

SMA-200W

The simple moving average of the last 200 weekly closes.

Requires 200 weeks of history. Represents ~4 years of price data.

Quality Score

A 0-100 score based on profitability, returns, leverage, and stability metrics.

Uses lagged fundamentals only. Never uses future data.

Signal Types

Near SMA

Primary Signal

Price is within X% above the 200-week SMA. The default band is 5%.

close ≥ SMA AND close ≤ SMA × (1 + X%)

Cross-Up

Momentum Signal

Price crosses from below to above the 200-week SMA.

prevClose < prevSMA AND close ≥ SMA

Execution Model

Signals are generated at the weekly close. Entry is assumed at the next session open (typically Monday) for backtesting purposes.

Friday
Signal Generated
then
Monday
Entry Open

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